Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.717998 1.963196 2.232497 2.550464 2.915974 3.323378 3.812484
2025-08-31 1.338676 1.652619 2.025927 2.503522 3.099780 3.821547 4.764486
2025-09-07 1.146655 1.511520 1.975728 2.611908 3.464770 4.573774 6.133714
2025-09-14 0.983296 1.371699 1.895637 2.658004 3.745763 5.252184 7.514447
2025-09-21 0.839385 1.230382 1.785580 2.637216 3.921265 5.801975 8.796569
2025-09-28 0.707539 1.083402 1.641853 2.539567 3.961302 6.150721 9.825335
2025-10-05 0.654000 1.043291 1.646865 2.660991 4.343684 7.061503 11.858362
2025-10-12 0.609700 1.009985 1.655462 2.785319 4.742939 8.048499 14.164188
2025-10-19 0.560351 0.960843 1.630347 2.847285 5.041774 8.903121 16.367374
2025-10-26 0.515163 0.912184 1.598541 2.890857 5.310267 9.735520 18.651500
2025-11-02 0.458897 0.836637 1.509936 2.819155 5.355837 10.163726 20.227778
2025-11-09 0.400449 0.749866 1.390389 2.673304 5.238975 10.264475 21.163365
2025-11-16 0.362997 0.699224 1.334131 2.646405 5.360709 10.867311 23.271187
2025-11-23 0.327347 0.647822 1.270416 2.596655 5.430228 11.376848 25.272854
2025-11-30 0.313151 0.637101 1.285035 2.708720 5.853809 12.689249 29.281964
2025-12-07 0.293726 0.613290 1.270172 2.756310 6.144609 13.756792 32.915705
2025-12-14 0.270032 0.577635 1.226298 2.734566 6.276739 14.486831 35.868805
2025-12-21 0.242320 0.530068 1.151360 2.633079 6.209942 14.744650 37.692189
2025-12-28 0.235272 0.527222 1.173896 2.759133 6.701993 16.412243 43.446041
2026-01-04 0.228686 0.524598 1.196498 2.888229 7.220431 18.224517 49.925226
2026-01-11 0.218045 0.511289 1.192820 2.952574 7.584661 19.699608 55.750375
2026-01-18 0.207028 0.495798 1.182130 2.997822 7.905821 21.110880 61.661578
2026-01-25 0.189986 0.463741 1.127710 2.923347 7.895760 21.623458 65.008104